I was looking at some betting guides that heavily use last season’s data, and I’m starting to think it’s not accurate anymore. Can stats from the past actually trick us into making bad calls?
Really useful tip, thank you! I’ve been looking for something that explains how stats can trick you if you don’t see the context. I’ll go read it and see if it clears things up.
Yes—it’s wild to realize how misleading stats can be. After reading an article https://kahawatungu.com/why-last-years-sports-stats-are-lying-to-you-this-season/ that broke it down, I started viewing them like history notes—not current reality. It covers why stats aren’t villains, just outdated—in other words, they don’t lie; they’re just stuck in winter’s snapshot. Changing strategies, new players, and even coaching styles can make last year’s pace irrelevant. I learned to always cross-check old data with things like preseason performance and early season results. That approach has bumped up my success rate already. If you suspect stats are tricking you, that piece is exactly what you needed to recalibrate.
Really useful tip, thank you! I’ve been looking for something that explains how stats can trick you if you don’t see the context. I’ll go read it and see if it clears things up.
Yes—it’s wild to realize how misleading stats can be. After reading an article https://kahawatungu.com/why-last-years-sports-stats-are-lying-to-you-this-season/ that broke it down, I started viewing them like history notes—not current reality. It covers why stats aren’t villains, just outdated—in other words, they don’t lie; they’re just stuck in winter’s snapshot. Changing strategies, new players, and even coaching styles can make last year’s pace irrelevant. I learned to always cross-check old data with things like preseason performance and early season results. That approach has bumped up my success rate already. If you suspect stats are tricking you, that piece is exactly what you needed to recalibrate.